Showing posts with label money management. Show all posts
Showing posts with label money management. Show all posts

Tuesday, 22 December 2015

How To Grow Your Account Fast Without Increasing Your Risk

How To Grow Your Account Fast Without Increasing Your Risk

I’m sure you probably have heard that compounding can help grow your account geometrically. But the normal way of compounding can take some time to grow your account. My method of using compounding takes it to the extreme to grow your account much faster without increasing your risk greatly.

Here, I would like to share a strategy which, if used properly, can help you grow your account pretty quickly. It introduces compounding into your money management strategy. 

First, let me show you the power of compounding through the normal way by a hypothetical example below:
If you have $10,000 invested and it gives you a rate of return 20% every year, you will have $380,000 at the end of 20 years by re-investing the profits (i.e. compounding),while you will only have $50,000 at the end of 20 years without compounding. You can see that compounding increase our total account by more than 6 times. 

Okay, let me move on to talk about using compounding in Forex Trading. 

But, first let me digress a bit. For those who are not familiar with R-multiple concept, let me explain a bit on that. It was introduced by Dr Van Tharp. 'R' is simply the dollar risk per trade. It’s nothing but a reward-to-risk ratio. Let say you risk $100 dollar per trade to make $500. Your risk to reward ratio is 1 :5. Your risk is 1R and your reward is 5R. Another example, you are risking $1000 dollar per trade to make $500. Your risk reward ratio is 2:1. Your risk is 1R and your reward in this case is 0.5R. We always take our risk as 1R and calculate your reward in terms of R-multiple. 

Let's get back to compounding. Let say our 1R is set to be $10( meaning we risk $10 per trade). We increase our dollar risk per trade(the dollar value of 1R) by our previous winning after each winning trade. Please take note that we are NOT compounding after each and every trade. We only compound after we had a winning trade with the expectation that we will have a winning streak( based on our testing data). If you hit a losing streak, your risk would be the same amount regardless whether you are using compounding or not.

So, let us see the results for 4 consecutive winning trades:

For a risk reward ratio of 1:2:
$10 --> $30 --> $90 --> $270 --> $810
(For our first winning trade, we risk $10 per trade,and with a risk reward ratio of 1:2, we make $20 in profit and have a total of $30 now. We then can risk $30 for our second winning trade, we make $60 in profit and have a total of $90 now. The same goes for the third and the fourth winning trade. At the end of fourth winning trade, we will have $810 in total which is a whopping 8100% return over our initial risk.)

For a risk reward ratio of 1:3:
$10 --> $40 --> $160 --> $640 --> $2,560
(At the end of fourth winning trade, we will have $810 in total which is a whopping 25600% return over our initial risk.)

For a risk reward ratio of 1:4:
$10 --> $50 --> $250 --> $1250 --> $6,250
(At the end of fourth winning trade, we will have $810 in total which is a whopping 62500% return over our initial risk.)

For a risk reward ratio of 1
$10 --> $60 --> $360 --> $2,160 --> $12,960
(At the end of fourth winning trade, we will have $810 in total which is a whopping 129600% return over our initial risk.)

We will take a look at another scenario where we risk $50 per trade:

For a risk reward ratio of 1:2:
$50 --> $150 --> $450 --> $1,350 --> $4,050

For a risk reward ratio of 1:3:
$50 --> $200 --> $800 --> $3,200 --> $12,800

For a risk reward ratio of 1:4:
$50 --> $250 --> $1,250 --> $6,250 --> $31,250

For a risk reward ratio of 1
$50 --> $300 --> $1,800 --> $10,800 --> $64,800

As you can see the huge potential comes with incorporating compounding into your money management strategy. You are simply 'reinvesting' your previous profits into your next trade and expotentially increase your profits for the next trade when you are on a winning streak. The higher the risk reward ratio and the higher the initial dollar risk per trade, the greater effect compounding has on your overall profits of a winning streak.

What kind of trading strategies can compounding strategy be useful for?

it is suitable for trading strategies that are:

(1) have a risk reward ratio higher than 1:1
(2) frequency of having winning streak of 2 and above is considerably high

Take Note: Compounding Strategy is not used to turn a losing trading system into a profitable trading system. It is used to increase your profits and grow your account faster for a profitable trading system. 

Let me illustrate by a few hypothetical examples:
Example 1: Trading Strategy A with a Risk Reward Ratio of 1:4 and Win ratio of 35%. It frequently has 3 winning trades in a row. Our starting trading capital is $1000. Our risk per trade(1R) is $20.

Sample Trading Data : 

How To Grow Your Account Fast Without Increasing Your Risk-example-1-png

Example 2: This is just a hypothetical scenario where winning trades and losing trades alternate. Our starting trading capital is $1000. Our risk per trade(1R) is $20.

Sample Trading Data : 

How To Grow Your Account Fast Without Increasing Your Risk-example-2-png


With a compounding strategy, an originally winning trading system turned into a losing trading system because it doesn't fulfill one of the two important prerequisite which is high occurrence of consecutive winning trades. 

Win Rate Needed To Be Profitable Based On Risk Reward Ratio


How To Grow Your Account Fast Without Increasing Your Risk-win-rate-based-risk-reward-ratio-png

As you can see, the higher the initial risk reward ratio brings you a much higher overall r-multiple win with more consecutive winning streaks. For example, if you risked 1:5 and aim to get one set of 3 consecutive win streak, all you need is just 1 winning set in 216 trades to be profitable (roughly a win rate of 0.005%).

Try out in your own trading and let me know how it goes!


Read more: http://forums.babypips.com/risk-management-and-trading-plan/69189-how-grow-your-account-fast-without-increasing-your-risk.html#ixzz3v7dAcD3P

Monday, 21 December 2015

Managing Profit

Managing Profit

In a world where everyone is obsessed with preparing for the worst, there seems to be little time dedicated to the subject of preparing for success. Of course we need to protect against capital loss and financial failure, but once we have appropriate measures in place to limit risk and to exit a trade quickly if price action moves against us, it is time to focus on what to do with profit.

And let’s be totally honest and open about this. Yes, there are plenty of traders out there making regular profits, but that does not automatically guarantee success. Profit is one thing. What you do with profit is something else. 

After spending 16 years building and operating my own companies, and interacting with countless others, I can assure you that profitable businesses regularly go belly-up for much the same reason as those that make trading losses. That is, a lack of financial management.

All the profit in the world is useless if it is tied up in stock and debtors, and not available to meet financial obligations as and when those obligations fall due. Likewise, a business has no chance of growing and realizing its full potential if its owners drain it of cash and neglect to accumulate capital to fund future growth.

If you are a reasonably successful trader with a solid history of profitable trades, but you don’t seem to be making progress financially, it is almost certain that you lack a clear and precise plan for managing profits. If you cannot answer the following questions you don’t have a money management plan:

· When should you begin making profit withdrawals from your trading account? 
· How do you continue to grow your capital base whilst enjoying the fruits of success along the way? 
· How much capital is enough to sustain you long-term? 
· How much do you need to earn from your trading activities to become financially independent?
· Do you even know where financial independence is for you? Do you know when you have arrived?

WHEN TO BEGIN PROFIT WITHDRAWALS

In order to build up future income potential it is important to accumulate profits and grow your initial start-up capital. So don’t be impatient. Allow sufficient time to grow your capital to the point where it is able to sustain your lifestyle and meet your financial objectives.

But it is also important to take rewards along the way, and to enjoy the fruits of success. This requires finding a balance between capital growth and withdrawal of profits. Personally, I achieve this by following a simple and easy to apply management plan that I have outlined below.

Your first goal is to take back your initial investment, thus reducing risk to zero. If you start with, say, $500 capital, let it grow to $1,000 and then withdraw your $500 start-up capital. You now have your initial $500 back in your pocket, you are 100% risk free, and you have made a 100% gain to date.

From this point forward, every time you triple your account balance, you withdraw one-third. So, $500 triples to $1,500 and a $500 withdrawal is made. You now have $1,000 in your account and another $500 in your pocket. Your $1,000 triples to $3,000 and a $1,000 withdrawal is made. You now have $2,000 in your account and another $1,000 in your pocket. This triples to $6,000 and a $2,000 withdrawal is made, so you now have $4,000 in your account, and you have put another $2,000 in your pocket.

With each cycle you increase your capital, which in turn accelerates future earnings. The timeframe between each cycle is therefore reduced, whilst the returns from each cycle are increased. Repeating the above cycle just three more times will result in $48,000 capital, and a $16,000 withdrawal.

You see? Nothing complicated about this simple money management plan, and you can begin applying it today without any formal training whatsoever.

WHEN TO CEASE CAPITAL ACCUMULATION

Somewhere along the way you are going to have to thoroughly explore your current living expenses, your discretionary spending on things like entertainment, travel, and the other vocational activities that make up your lifestyle, and consider your long-term financial objectives.

A practical and realistic starting point is the current household budget. You must identify each expenditure that must be met, like rent/mortgage, utility bills, telephone, food, insurances, vehicle operating costs, school fees, health, and all those other items that must be met in order to simply maintain your current living standards. It is important to include even the basics like your daily bread, milk, and newspaper, so that an accurate cost base can be established.

Repeat this process with discretionary items. Remember, it is important to capture everything, so please give this adequate time to build a complete picture. This exercise is not about cutting corners, but rather, it is about maintaining your chosen lifestyle.

Finally, give due consideration to your current financial objectives. This might include paying off the mortgage early, clearing credit card debt, building a share portfolio, property investment, or simply building a cash reserve on which to fall back on in the event of crisis. You need to convert this into a weekly sum that is set aside to meet your financial objectives. Whatever your financial objectives, keep to what you already have in mind. That is, do not increase your existing expectations at this point in time. Remember, we are simply trying to establish exactly where you are up to right now in terms of what you have, and what you plan for the future.

Combining your household budget, discretionary spending, and financial objectives, will provide you with a benchmark. This benchmark represents the income you need each week, month, or year, to meet household expenditure, discretionary spending, and financial objectives. You are currently covering these items through the income you earn from employment, but our goal is to cover these items through income derived from trading. When we reach this point and sustain it, you are financially independent.

So how much income do you need each month to become financially independent? What is the monthly combined total of household expenditures, discretionary spending, and contributions towards your financial objectives?

Let’s assume for demonstration purposes that you need $10,000 each month. And let’s further assume that your trading activities are producing an average 20% monthly return on capital. Based on this, how much capital must you accumulate in order to meet your $10,000 per month income objective?

$10,000 / 20 x 100 = $50,000

By simply dividing monthly income by monthly return, and multiplying the result by 100, we have determined that $50,000 capital is required to earn $10,000 per month. You can apply this simple formula if you know: (1) Monthly income needs, and (2) average monthly return from trading.

You can easily calculate your monthly income needs, and you can determine the average monthly return on trading activities by reviewing your past trading results, or looking at the results of a Trade Mirror service such as myfxpt.com.

With this information you can easily determine at which point you have accumulated sufficient capital to meet your needs, and at which point you can cease the capital accumulation phase.

WHERE TO FROM HERE?

Here comes the fun part. For every $1,000 you accumulate beyond your $50,000 minimum required capital, you will earn $200 per month. Add $10,000 to your capital, and you add $2,000 extra income per month. Add $20,000 and you earn an extra $4,000 per month.

You are now in a position to get serious about your future income. For example, simply delaying drawings for two months will add $22,000 to your capital base, which in turn adds $4,400 to future monthly income. Or, take a part drawing of $5,000 per month for four months, and you will still add around $22,000 to your capital base. Or, take no drawings for four months, and add over $40,000 to capital…giving you the potential to earn an extra $8,000 per month. You are now in full control of future potential income.

PASSIVE INCOME

There is much talk about passive income. That is, income you earn without doing anything in return. For example, interest earnings, share dividends, rental income, capital appreciation on shares and property, even affiliate programs and MLM systems, all fall into the category of passive income.

None of the above, however, can take you to financial independence as quickly as a leveraged trading arena can do, and with so little effort in return.

There is high risk, of course, and that is why you must withdraw your start-up capital as soon as possible. In addition, it is important to regularly withdraw rewards along the way to provide a liquid net return on capital. But it is also crucial to build your capital base to ensure ever-increasing future income potential.

This profit management strategy achieves these objectives. It returns original start-up capital to you, whilst retaining an equivalent amount of capital in your trading account. It then allows capital to triple, whilst providing for a one-third reward along the way. And finally, it gives you the opportunity and the means to reach the optimum capital required to meet your ongoing financial objectives both present, and future.


Read more: http://forums.babypips.com/newbie-island/44729-managing-profit.html#ixzz3v1xv2VEd
Money can be made in FX but to become successful you have to master money management and expectation much more that of when to pull the trigger on a trade.

In the beginning, I didn't really place much emphasis on the importance of money management as I thought mastering the prediction of price movement was the first challenge. I took it for granted that the application of money management would be a fore gone conclusion as I have a degree in maths.

My 'light bulb' moment came for me when I realised that you cannot predict price movement. All you can do is to have faith and believe that when your criteria has been met for entry into a trade. The chances are that if you where to make the same trade 100 times expect 50 of them will fail. But understand that with the correct money management you can make money from this scenario.

I also started making money when I stopped being influenced by the opinions of others of when and when not to trade along with what and what not to trade. As a famous trader once said "A man must believe in himself and his judgement if he expects to make a living at this game."

It's well documented that you shouldn't trade news or trade on a Friday or a Monday or scaling in/scaling out. Why? Again, many will talk about closing positions because of whipsaws and lack of volatility but some of my most successful days in a week have been a Friday or a Monday and some of my bigger trade successes have been on a news event. To find your own edge you need to free your mind of others opinions.

There are so many threads on here on trading systems that chase pips. I NEVER chase pips. I couldn't even tell you how many pips I make in a week because it is completely irrelevant. Why? you may ask.
It's very, very simple. I chase a percentage of my main account. I enter a trade and whether the SL be 10 pips or 70 pips, it makes no difference because it will still be the same %age of my account. I never trade more that 1% and this leads onto the next important thing. R:R (Risk Reward) is more important to me than the success of a trade. I never take a trade less than 1:1.

The last and most important aspect to become successful is to manage expectation. I am happy if I hit 10% return on my account at the end of a month. Or lets break it down. 2.5% a week !!! Doing the maths on this means that I only need 3 good trades a week at 1% of your main account and at an R:R of 1:1 to be making a healthy profit.

Read more: http://forums.babypips.com/forextown/12094-how-much-does-average-forex-trader-make-2.html#ixzz3v1gdCIwX